How a Configurational Contextual Model ‘Trumped’ the Conventional Forecasters: Four I’s Proved to be Powerful Predictors in the 2016 Presidential Election
by Steve Montague Groups like Pollyvote and Real Clear have been doing a fair bit of ex poste diagnosis of which models and approaches did worse than others in failing to predict the 2016 Donald Trump US Presidential election victory. This article will not rehash those arguments other than to note that all sources have […]
Impact Pathways for Science Initiatives Released
A well received report describing science impact pathways was recently noted by an NRC official at the November 7th Science-based Organization public forum. The report Study of Large Scale Research Infrastructure Impact Assessment was co-authored by PMN partner Steve Montague and associate Gretchen Jordan. The full report has just been released for public access. Email […]